Metclaf, the predicted champ since nominations were announced in November, holds an 8/13-odd lead over Janney (3/2 odds). None of the other nominees, Holly Hunter (“The Big Sick”), Lois Smith (“Marjorie Prime”) and Taliah Lennice Webster (“Good Time”), are predicted to win.
See Best Supporting Actress predictions: Who could beat Allison Janney at the Oscars? [Poll]
Metcalf’s tender, subtle performance in a film by indie darling Greta Gerwig checks a lot of boxes, but Spirit Awards voters also have no problem rubber-stamping an Oscar frontrunner if they’re on the shortlists. In 2014, all four