The PGA nominations were announced yesterday and while many of the films we expected to be there made it, an interesting stat came to the forefront. Blue Jasmine was the only film released before October that managed to pick up a nomination. Everyone knows that the later release dates tend to bear out Oscar seeking films, but to only have one pre-October release is very telling. So today, I decided to look at all of the pre-fall releases (ie. before September) and see which films might be successful with Oscar.
Before Midnight – I may have written a few words about this film since joining the site about this very subject. That this film has managed to stay in the conversation is both a testament to its quality and the weirdly thin Adapted Screenplay category. This film has probably the most likely outcome of those listed