IMDb's 2023 awards season predictions

by IMDb-Editors | created - 03 Nov 2022 | updated - 16 Nov 2022 | Public

If you're an aspiring armchair expert or just want a study guide for awards season, we've pulled together our early predictions in the popular awards categories, along with a few wild card picks. Start planning your Watchlist now — awards season is just around the corner!

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1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (2022)

R | 139 min | Action, Adventure, Comedy

81 Metascore

A middle-aged Chinese immigrant is swept up into an insane adventure in which she alone can save existence by exploring other universes and connecting with the lives she could have led.

Directors: Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert | Stars: Michelle Yeoh, Stephanie Hsu, Jamie Lee Curtis, Ke Huy Quan

Votes: 490,512 | Gross: $72.86M

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Daniels, aka Dan Kwan and Daniel Scheinert) Best Actress (Michelle Yeoh) Best Supporting Actress (Stephanie Hsu) Best Supporting Actor (Ke Huy Quan)

Wild card pick: Best Supporting Actress (Jamie Lee Curtis)

2. The Fabelmans (2022)

PG-13 | 151 min | Drama

84 Metascore

Growing up in post-World War II era Arizona, young Sammy Fabelman aspires to become a filmmaker as he reaches adolescence, but soon discovers a shattering family secret and explores how the power of films can help him see the truth.

Director: Steven Spielberg | Stars: Michelle Williams, Gabriel LaBelle, Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch

Votes: 107,774

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Steven Spielberg) Best Actress (Michelle Williams) Best Supporting Actor (Paul Dano, Judd Hirsch)

3. Babylon (I) (2022)

R | 189 min | Comedy, Drama, History

61 Metascore

A tale of outsized ambition and outrageous excess, it traces the rise and fall of multiple characters during an era of unbridled decadence and depravity in early Hollywood.

Director: Damien Chazelle | Stars: Brad Pitt, Margot Robbie, Jean Smart, Olivia Wilde

Votes: 153,274

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Damien Chazelle) Best Actress (Margot Robbie)

Wild card picks: Best Actor (Diego Calva) Best Supporting Actress (Jean Smart) Best Supporting Actor (Brad Pitt)

4. The Banshees of Inisherin (2022)

R | 114 min | Comedy, Drama

87 Metascore

Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them.

Director: Martin McDonagh | Stars: Colin Farrell, Brendan Gleeson, Kerry Condon, Pat Shortt

Votes: 233,721

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Actor (Colin Farrell) Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon) Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)

Wild card picks: Best Director (Martin McDonagh) Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)

5. Tár (2022)

R | 158 min | Drama, Music

92 Metascore

Set in the international world of Western classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár, widely considered one of the greatest living composer-conductors and the very first female director of a major German orchestra.

Director: Todd Field | Stars: Cate Blanchett, Noémie Merlant, Nina Hoss, Sophie Kauer

Votes: 86,034

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Todd Field) Best Actress (Cate Blanchett)

Wild card pick: Best Supporting Actress (Nina Hoss)

6. Women Talking (2022)

PG-13 | 104 min | Drama

78 Metascore

Do nothing, stay and fight, or leave. In 2010, the women of an isolated religious community grapple with reconciling a brutal reality with their faith.

Director: Sarah Polley | Stars: Rooney Mara, Claire Foy, Jessie Buckley, Frances McDormand

Votes: 38,233

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Director (Sarah Polley) Best Supporting Actress (Jessie Buckley, Claire Foy) Best Supporting Actor (Ben Whishaw)

7. The Woman King (2022)

PG-13 | 135 min | Action, Drama, History

77 Metascore

A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries.

Director: Gina Prince-Bythewood | Stars: Viola Davis, Thuso Mbedu, Lashana Lynch, Sheila Atim

Votes: 69,446 | Gross: $67.33M

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Gina Prince-Bythewood) Best Actress (Viola Davis) Best Supporting Actress (Thuso Mbedu)

8. The Whale (2022)

R | 117 min | Drama

60 Metascore

A reclusive, morbidly obese English teacher attempts to reconnect with his estranged teenage daughter.

Director: Darren Aronofsky | Stars: Brendan Fraser, Sadie Sink, Ty Simpkins, Hong Chau

Votes: 190,064

Likely nominations: Best Picture Best Actor (Brendan Fraser) Best Supporting Actress (Hong Chau)

Wild card pick: Best Supporting Actress (Sadie Sink)

9. Top Gun: Maverick (2022)

PG-13 | 130 min | Action, Drama

78 Metascore

After thirty years, Maverick is still pushing the envelope as a top naval aviator, but must confront ghosts of his past when he leads TOP GUN's elite graduates on a mission that demands the ultimate sacrifice from those chosen to fly it.

Director: Joseph Kosinski | Stars: Tom Cruise, Jennifer Connelly, Miles Teller, Val Kilmer

Votes: 643,598 | Gross: $718.73M

Likely nominations: Best Picture

Wild card pick: Best Actor (Tom Cruise)

10. Elvis (2022)

PG-13 | 159 min | Biography, Drama, Music

64 Metascore

The life of American music icon Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker.

Director: Baz Luhrmann | Stars: Tom Hanks, Austin Butler, Olivia DeJonge, Helen Thomson

Votes: 220,094 | Gross: $151.04M

Likely nominations: Best Actor (Austin Butler)

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Baz Luhrmann)

11. She Said (2022)

R | 129 min | Drama, History

Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey's quest to break the Harvey Weinstein scandal.

Director: Maria Schrader | Stars: Zoe Kazan, Carey Mulligan, Patricia Clarkson, Lola Petticrew

Votes: 36,406

Likely nominations: Best Picture

Wild card pick: Best Supporting Actress (Carey Mulligan)

12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (2022)

PG-13 | 161 min | Action, Adventure, Drama

67 Metascore

The people of Wakanda fight to protect their home from intervening world powers as they mourn the death of King T'Challa.

Director: Ryan Coogler | Stars: Letitia Wright, Lupita Nyong'o, Danai Gurira, Winston Duke

Votes: 291,109 | Gross: $453.72M

Wild card pick: Best Picture

13. Till (I) (2022)

PG-13 | 130 min | Biography, Crime, Drama

78 Metascore

In 1955, after Emmett Till is murdered in a brutal lynching, his mother vows to expose the racism behind the attack while working to have those involved brought to justice.

Director: Chinonye Chukwu | Stars: Danielle Deadwyler, Jalyn Hall, Frankie Faison, Haley Bennett

Votes: 14,075

Likely nominations: Best Actress (Danielle Deadwyler)

Wild card pick: Best Picture

14. Triangle of Sadness (2022)

R | 147 min | Comedy, Drama

63 Metascore

A fashion model celebrity couple join an eventful cruise for the super-rich.

Director: Ruben Östlund | Stars: Thobias Thorwid, Harris Dickinson, Charlbi Dean, Jiannis Moustos

Votes: 160,855

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Ruben Östlund)

15. RRR (2022)

Not Rated | 187 min | Action, Drama

83 Metascore

A fictitious story about two legendary revolutionaries and their journey away from home before they started fighting for their country in the 1920s.

Director: S.S. Rajamouli | Stars: N.T. Rama Rao Jr., Ram Charan, Ajay Devgn, Alia Bhatt

Votes: 159,476 | Gross: $14.50M

Likely nominations: Best International Feature

16. Glass Onion (2022)

PG-13 | 139 min | Comedy, Crime, Drama

81 Metascore

Tech billionaire Miles Bron invites his friends for a getaway on his private Greek island. When someone turns up dead, Detective Benoit Blanc is put on the case.

Director: Rian Johnson | Stars: Daniel Craig, Edward Norton, Kate Hudson, Dave Bautista

Votes: 418,247

Wild card pick: Best Picture

17. Avatar: The Way of Water (2022)

PG-13 | 192 min | Action, Adventure, Fantasy

67 Metascore

Jake Sully lives with his newfound family formed on the extrasolar moon Pandora. Once a familiar threat returns to finish what was previously started, Jake must work with Neytiri and the army of the Na'vi race to protect their home.

Director: James Cameron | Stars: Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldana, Sigourney Weaver, Stephen Lang

Votes: 469,466 | Gross: $659.68M

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (James Cameron)

18. Empire of Light (2022)

R | 115 min | Drama, Romance

54 Metascore

A drama about the power of human connection during turbulent times, set in an English coastal town in the early 1980s.

Director: Sam Mendes | Stars: Olivia Colman, Micheal Ward, Colin Firth, Toby Jones

Votes: 22,225

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Actress (Olivia Colman) Best Supporting Actor (Micheal Ward)

19. Bardo: False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths (2022)

R | 159 min | Comedy, Drama

55 Metascore

An acclaimed journalist-turned-documentarian goes on an oneiric introspective journey to reconcile with the past, the present and his Mexican identity.

Director: Alejandro G. Iñárritu | Stars: Daniel Giménez Cacho, Griselda Siciliani, Ximena Lamadrid, Íker Sánchez Solano

Votes: 14,338

Wild card picks: Best Picture Best Director (Alejandro G. Iñárritu)

20. Decision to Leave (2022)

Not Rated | 139 min | Crime, Drama, Mystery

84 Metascore

A detective investigating a man's death in the mountains meets the dead man's mysterious wife in the course of his dogged sleuthing.

Director: Park Chan-wook | Stars: Park Hae-il, Tang Wei, Lee Jung-hyun, Go Kyung-pyo

Votes: 50,119

Likely nominations: Best International Feature

Wild card picks: Best Director (Park Chan-Wook)

21. The Son (I) (2022)

PG-13 | 123 min | Drama

45 Metascore

Peter has his busy life with new partner Beth and their baby thrown into disarray when his ex-wife Kate turns up with their teenage son, Nicholas.

Director: Florian Zeller | Stars: Vanessa Kirby, Hugh Jackman, Laura Dern, Shin-Fei Chen

Votes: 13,851

Likely nominations: Best Actor (Hugh Jackman)

Wild card pick: Best Picture

22. All Quiet on the Western Front (2022)

R | 148 min | Action, Drama, War

76 Metascore

A young German soldier's terrifying experiences and distress on the western front during World War I.

Director: Edward Berger | Stars: Felix Kammerer, Albrecht Schuch, Aaron Hilmer, Moritz Klaus

Votes: 228,807

Likely nominations: Best International Feature

Wild card pick: Best Picture

23. Living (2022)

PG-13 | 102 min | Drama

81 Metascore

In 1950s London, a humorless bureaucrat decides to take time off work to experience life after receiving a grim diagnosis.

Director: Oliver Hermanus | Stars: Bill Nighy, Aimee Lou Wood, Alex Sharp, Adrian Rawlins

Votes: 29,399

Likely nominations: Best Actor (Bill Nighy)

24. Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody (2022)

PG-13 | 144 min | Biography, Drama, Music

51 Metascore

A joyous, emotional, heartbreaking celebration of the life and music of Whitney Houston, one of the greatest female R&B pop vocalists of all time, tracking her journey from obscurity to musical super stardom.

Director: Kasi Lemmons | Stars: Naomi Ackie, Stanley Tucci, Ashton Sanders, Tamara Tunie

Votes: 21,332

Wild card pick: Best Actress (Naomi Ackie)

25. Blonde (2022)

NC-17 | 167 min | Drama, History

50 Metascore

The story of American actress Marilyn Monroe, covering her love and professional lives.

Director: Andrew Dominik | Stars: Ana de Armas, Lily Fisher, Julianne Nicholson, Tygh Runyan

Votes: 69,581

Wild card pick: Best Actress (Ana de Armas)

26. Causeway (2022)

R | 94 min | Drama

66 Metascore

A US soldier suffers a traumatic brain injury while fighting in Afghanistan and struggles to adjust to life back home.

Director: Lila Neugebauer | Stars: Jennifer Lawrence, Brian Tyree Henry, Linda Emond, Danny Wolohan

Votes: 21,200

Wild card picks: Best Actress (Jennifer Lawrence) Best Supporting Actor (Brian Tyree Henry)

27. Broker (2022)

R | 129 min | Comedy, Crime, Drama

77 Metascore

When a young mother reconsiders abandoning her baby, she discovers a scheme selling foundlings for adoption.

Director: Kore-eda Hirokazu | Stars: Song Kang-ho, Gang Dong-won, Bae Doona, Lee Ji-eun

Votes: 14,847

Wild card pick: Best Actor (Song Kang-ho)

28. The Good Nurse (2022)

R | 121 min | Biography, Crime, Drama

65 Metascore

An infamous caregiver is implicated in the deaths of hundreds of hospital patients.

Director: Tobias Lindholm | Stars: Eddie Redmayne, Jessica Chastain, Denise Pillott, Dartel McRae

Votes: 75,805

Wild card picks: Best Supporting Actress (Jessica Chastain) Best Supporting Actor (Eddie Redmayne)

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