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Box Office Sabermetrics is a weekly column that will attempt to apply the statistical analysis Sabermetrics, used in Baseball, to the box office results each weekend.
There are a few things of note going on in the top 10 this past weekend, first and foremost that Straight Outta Compton just made a ton of money. Like, nearly-twice-its-budget-just-domestically ton of money. It’s set the new domestic box office record for an R-Rated opening in August. That’s great for many reasons: a bright future for its young stars, F. Gary Gray is relevant again, and hopefully this will encourage more high-profile films about the rap and hip-hop community.
But looking down the list, something is amiss with the low receipts for The Man from U.N.C.L.E., which means that’s two straight franchise starters that have bombed for star Armie Hammer. A very disconcerting question arises: Is Armie Hammer suffering from the Taylor Kitsch syndrome? »
- Dylan Griffin
This week, Neil Calloway looks at how public perceptions can affect how a movie is thought of…
Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past ten days, you’ll know about the fallout from the Fantastic Four movie, which bombed at the box office during its opening weekend, and was on the receiving end of near universal bad reviews. The film has been out for a matter of days and its fate has been sealed. It’ll become shorthand for the failure of a film, mentioned forever more alongside the likes of Heaven’s Gate, Waterworld and John Carter. Fantastic Four will be a meme; a punchline, the cast and crew having to spend the next few years sheepishly defending their participation in it. Give it 18 months and you’ll see Miles Teller and Michael B. Jordan in interviews for their latest movies saying “well, it did really well in Europe, »
- Neil Calloway
Days before Fantastic Four opened, director Josh Trank sent an email to some members of the cast and crew to say he was proud of the film, which, he wrote, was "better than 99 percent of the comic-book movies ever made." "I don't think so," responded one castmember. Maybe if Trank had left it at that, Hollywood insiders and fan websites could have played their own parlor games as to who was at fault for the film's colossal failure and Fantastic Four would have faded into the history books as did John Carter and other bombs before
- Kim Masters
Ant-Man hit, Terminator: Genisys failed, yet both made around the same amount of money. So what actually is a hit movie?
If the hive mind of Twitter is to be believed, then summer blockbuster season 2015 has given the world some very distinct hits and misses. It's fairly obvious that Jurassic World, Fast & Furious 7 and Avengers: Age Of Ultron have all been sizeable successes, not least because each of them has grossed over $1.3bn, and stands in the top ten movies of all time at the global box office.
Furthermore, Terminator: Genisys and Fantastic Four are the lucky recipients of the term 'box office bomb' this season. Right?
Well, maybe. But it's not quite as clear as that.
It's a sign of the times that the measure of success of a movie is determined by its instant box office takings first and foremost. By such a measure, movies such as »
I felt really bad giving Fantastic Four the review that I posted last week, but it really wasn’t that great was it? It’s surprising that Fox are still pushing ahead with a Fantastic Four 2 despite the fact that it looks like it will be writing off around $60 million for the first movie.
The Hollywood Reporter are reporting that the loss is a given as the film made $26 million domestically its opening weekend, and cost around $120 million to produce. It made around $59 million worldwide over the same time frame. The 2005 version of the Fantastic Four made over double that in its opening weekend.
Insiders are reporting that despite the huge loss, which isn’t a patch on Disney’s 2012 disaster John Carter Of Mars, which lost around $200 million, Fox is determined to make a go of the franchise.
“Everything I’ve heard would indicate that the studio will »
- Paul Heath
In the wake of a high-profile studio failure, there's often reports that said studio is taking a write-down on the film. Some are small like the $13.5 million Dreamworks Animation lost on "Turbo," some are huge like the $200 million Disney lost with "John Carter". Others are in between including "The Lone Ranger," "47 Ronin" and various Dreamworks Animation films.
Today, THR reports that according to analysts it seems that more than a $60 million write-off is looking in store for the failure of Fox's "Fantastic Four" reboot which scored just $26 million domestically its opening weekend. The film cost a reported $120 million to produce and made around $59 million worldwide on opening weekend.
Meanwhile some interesting behind-the-scenes material has been popping up online in the last day or two showcasing scenes from both the trailer and the set which did not make it into the final film. This includes a B-roll reel in which a »
- Garth Franklin
Taylor Kitsch may not be so great at picking roles (John Carter, X-Men: Origins, True Detective), but he's really good at college drinking games. Appearing on The Tonight Show Friday, the actor trounced Jimmy Fallon in a game of beer hockey, which is to air hockey what beer pong is to ping-pong. After missing his first shot (to Fallon's amusement), Kitsch bounced back. Fallon didn't score once, which means, by most fraternity house rules, that Fallon owes Kitsch a naked lap. Better pay up, Jimmy. »
- Greg Cwik
This is a comic book story, not a movie story, but it’s a good one. It’s the sort of thing that happened in the comics industry of decades past, but would probably never happen today. The tale comes to you now thanks to a reminder by the tremendous artist Walt Simonson, who worked on Marvel’s Star Wars comic in […]
- Russ Fischer
The collapse of Relativity Media has provoked a sense of shock and dejection — along with a blunt reminder of the brutal bottom-line focus required for survival in Hollywood — among media trackers.
“It seems like another instance of over-reaching,” noted Matthew Harrigan, a media analyst with Wunderlich Securities. “They tried a very clinical approach but at the end of the day, Relativity didn’t have enough scale to compete effectively.”
Thus, Ryan Kavanaugh joins a long list of self-styled Hollywood moguls — with such names as Howard Hughes, Carolco’s Mario Kassar and MGM’s Giancarlo Paretti — who fell short after an initial splash amid promises of a new paradigm for success in the filmed entertainment business.
“I wish it weren’t true, but this filing does have a chilling effect on people being willing to invest,” Harrigan added.
The analyst noted that failures are not uncommon and pointed to the 2010 disappearance of The Film Department, »
- Dave McNary
A couple years ago, my friend and I came up with the germ of an idea for a movie plot, centered on a man who -- after a near-fatal accident -- began to see life as one big giant musical and corresponded to this discovery accordingly, even when his perplexed local citizens couldn't understand his actions or point-of-view. Little did we know, though, a similar-minded movie was already in the works at Disney called Bob: The Musical. The in-the-works production focuses on an everyman who -- upon getting a nasty blow to the noggin -- starts to instantly hear the songs inside everyone's hearts as his life is turned into a musical. Mild jealously aside, I'm very curious to see what is cooked up here if it actually comes into fruition, which is looking more-and-more likely. Earlier this year, Tom Cruise joined the film to play the titular character, with »
- Will Ashton
Disney’s long-gestating musical comedy Bob the Musical, in which The Artist helmer Michel Hazanavicius may direct Tom Cruise, will be written by Pulitzer Prize-winning author Michael Chabon, The Hollywood Reporter revealed last night. Additionally, Bret McKenzie, who won an Oscar for “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets has been enlisted to write songs for the pic.
Bob the Musical centers on a regular guy who suffers a head injury after which he is able to hear the heart songs of everyone around him – much to his confusion and dismay. It’s been in development for more than a decade but recently got a shot in the arm when Hazanavicius, searching for a mainstream project to tackle in the wake of 2011 Best Picture winner The Artist, got involved.
As for Cruise, he’s still circling the lead role but has not signed on yet. The actor has flourished in musical »
- Isaac Feldberg
The project, in which a man suffers a head injury and can subsequently hear everyone’s inner song, is being produced by Chris Bender, Jc Spink, Beau Flynn, Tripp Vinson and Jennifer Gibgot. “The Artist’s” Michel Hazanavicius has been attached to direct. “Bob the Musical” has been in development for more than a decade with script work by Mike Bender, John August and the team of Lowell Ganz and Babaloo Mandel.
McKenzie, who won an Oscar for the song “Man or Muppet” from “The Muppets Movie,” is on board to write tunes for “Bob the Musical.” He also won a Grammy with Jemaine Clement for their “Flight of the Conchords” comedy album.
Chabon is in talks to work on script for the project. He wrote “Wonder Boys,” “Telegraph Avenue” and “The Yiddish Policeman »
- Dave McNary
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation is the latest film to be 'tracking softly'. But why are we so keen to lambast films we've not seen?
And so here we go again. We're two weeks away from the release of a blockbuster movie, and the dreaded term 'tracking softly' has reared its head. This time, it's apparently the upcoming Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation that's reportedly set for a lower than expected opening weekend when it arrives in cinemas at the end of July. Not withstanding the fact that very few people have seen the film yet (and early reactions from those that have are very positive), and that box office success is rarely determined by American takings only, it's still an indicative state of where we are with big movies right now.
Let's do the factual basics first though.
When a film is said to be 'tracking softly', it means »
Before Disney and director Andrew Stanton ventured to Barsoom for 2012’s Edgar Rice Burroughs adaptation John Carter, the project spent many a year in development, passing through the hands of a host of studios and filmmakers.
In the early 2004, John Carter was at Paramount, with the studio enlisting Kerry Conran (Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow) to direct as a replacement for Robert Rodriguez, who was forced to abandon the project after resigning from the Directors Guild of America. Conran would leave the project himself the following year (with Jon Favreau then taking a failed crack at the material), but not before he put together a rather impressive presentation reel, which has made its way online in high-res courtesy of AICN’s Harry Knowles, who was also attached as a producer on the failed adaptation. Check it out here…
What do you make of the presentation reel? Are you »
- Gary Collinson
These days, the movies that never happened are almost as popular as the movies that did. In some cases, maybe more so. Disney's adaptation of John Carter bombed so badly that many likely now wish Paramount's take on the Edgar Rice Burroughs novel had happened -- presuming it wouldn't have been any worse. Just as in the case of Alejandro Jodorowsky's Dune and Tim Burton's Superman Lives and others on the way, the story of Kerry Conran's abandoned version of John Carter for Paramount could probably do well as a crowdfunded documentary. But why wait for that to see a bunch of concept art, test footage and other goodies from Conran's pre-production on John Carter? Ain't It Cool News head honcho Harry Knowles, who was attached to Paramount's...
- Christopher Campbell
Most of the time, folks in Hollywood defend their films, even when they are critical and commercial failures. Johnny Depp defended both Transcendence and The Lone Ranger while Taylor Kitsch has defended John Carter. Sometimes these movies enter and exit the zeitgeist and you don't give them a second thought until someone chimes in with their opinion. Producer Brian Grazer... Read More »
- Alex Maidy
Welcome to today's edition of Nerd Alert, where we have all the off-beat, nerdy news for you in one convenient spot. What do we have in store for you on this marvelous Monday? We have a comprehensive video breakdown of all the Easter Eggs in Terminator Genisys, an animated video that shows Sean Connery portraying Gandalf in The Lord of the Rings and The Simpsons gets an Akira mashup. If that wasn't enough, Shia Labeouf's intense motivational speech even gets the anime treatment. But first, we have the ultimate battle between The Joker and Harley Quinn as they square off against Deadpool and Domino. So, sit back, relax, and check out all that today's Nerd Alert has to offer.
Super Power Beat Down: Joker & Harley Quinn vs. Deadpool and Domino
The latest episode of Bat In the Sun's series Super Power Beat Down features characters from 2 of next year's highly-anticipated superhero movies, »
UK TV ratings round-up - data supplied by Barb
ITV's crime drama wrapped up its three-episode arc with 5.14m (23.5%) at 9pm, while a further 313k (1.9%) tuned in on +1. The series lost just short of 700,000 viewers from its first to its last episode.
Earlier, Catchphrase entertained 2.44m (13.5%) at 7.15pm (125k/0.6% on +1), while Surprise Surprise averaged 3.36m (17.0%) at 8pm (123k/0.6%).
However, it was BBC One's Countryfile that was Sunday night's most-watched programme, bringing in 5.48m (30.7%) at 7pm. Fake or Fortune? interested 4.85m (24.5%) at 8pm, while 7/7 drama A Song for Jenny moved 3.12m (14.8%) at 9pm.
Channel 4's Amazing Spaces: Shed of the Year continued with 1.29m (6.5%) at »
Before Disney brought John Carter to movie theaters, resulting in one of the biggest box office bombs in recent memory, the film was in development at Paramount Pictures. Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow director Kerry Conran was attached to direct the adaptation of Edgar Rice Burrough‘s classic sci-fi novel John Carter of Mars, […]
The post Votd: Pitch Reel for Paramount’s Abandonded ‘John Carter of Mars’ appeared first on /Film. »
- Ethan Anderton
John Carter was a very public disappointment for Disney, the studio posting an $84 million dollar loss on the Edgar Rice Burrough’s beloved series of sci-fi novels. But there was a time, before the property landed in the House of Mouse, that the project, at the time called John Carter of Mars (a better title, in my opinion, because it let audiences know what they were in for) was in the hands of Paramount and Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow director Kerry Conran, and before that project was axed, Conran made a presentation reel of his vision for the movie, complete with concept art and very early effects work. A lo-res version has been doing the rounds for some time, but below you can find a much more clean and crisp version, uploaded by Ain’t It Cool News founder Harry Knowles, who was also set to produce the Conran directed adaption, »
- email@example.com (Tom White)
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