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3 items from 2009

Inside track on the Oscars' supporting actor race

18 November 2009 11:22 AM, PST | Gold Derby | See recent Gold Derby news »

At this point on the derby track, with many films like "Invictus" and "The Lovely Bones" still unseen, it appears that there are three Oscar front-runners for best supporting actor: Christoph Waltz ("Inglourious Basterds"), Christopher Plummer ("The Last Station") and Alec Baldwin ("It's Complicated"). Waltz has been ahead for the last few months and may remain there, but remember this category is notoriously known as the veteran's achievement award (Alan Arkin in "Little Miss Sunshine," James Coburn in "Affliction"). Two notable veterans stand out. Plummer starred in Oscar best pictures "The Sound of Music" and "A Beautiful Mind" and won many industry honors (three Emmys plus several film critics' awards), but he's never been nominated »

- tomoneil

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Exclusive: Paul Schrader On His Unlikely Reinvention as a Bollywood Auteur

9 October 2009 7:50 AM, PDT | Movieline | See recent Movieline news »

On paper, the idea of Paul Schrader leaving Hollywood for Bollywood shouldn't work. Schrader's had a hand in some of the most iconic American films of the last century -- he scripted Taxi Driver and The Last Temptation of Christ and directed films like American Gigolo and Affliction -- and the dark themes that have long fascinated him would seem a mismatch for the joyous, colorful world of Indian cinema. And yet, that's exactly what makes the concept so immediately compelling; like Steven Soderbergh's planned Cleopatra musical, the idea of Paul Schrader directing a Bollywood musical is simply too bold to ignore.

After reading the announcement of the project (titled Xtrme City) in Variety this week, I called up Schrader to learn just what he has in mind. "I've made a career out of doing oddball films that have a very niche market," he admitted to me, right off the bat. »

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Can Amy Adams really pull off an upset at the Oscars?

10 February 2009 3:02 PM, PST | Gold Derby | See recent Gold Derby news »

When Tariq Khan makes a bold Oscar prediction, take heed. He's one of the savviest Oscarologists I know and this year he's going where no other guru dares: out onto a thin, shaky limb for Amy Adams ("Doubt") for supporting actress. Interesting call! That category, after all, is where most Oscar upsets happen.

Tariq has one of the best Oscar prediction rates every year. Check out the forecasts he made last year for Fox News — he scored 100%. Earlier this derby season he was one of the first pundits warning us that Kate Winslet might be nommed for "The Reader" instead of "Revolutionary Road."

Below, Tariq makes his argument for Amy Adams, building his Oscar case carefully by citing past award trends and issues at play this year. I dare to disagree with him, though. I think the two points he's not giving enough due are the Babe Factor and the fact that, »

- tomoneil

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