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Oscar predictions Panic: Pete Hammond and Tom O'Neil on the cliffhanger Oscar Best Picture race'

2 hours ago

"We're drowning! We're drowning!" Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood) wails playfully in our chat (watch above or here) as we admit that we're awash with mystery, suspense and conflicting tea leaves when sizing up the Oscar race for Best Picture. Three movies have the best shot: "Spotlight" (which won Best Ensemble at the SAG Awards), "The Big Short" (PGA champ) and "The Revenant" (DGA victor) – but which one will prevail on Feb. 28? -Break- The winner will be decided by the academy's kooky preferential ballot that asks voters to rank their top five choices out of eight nominees. Theoretically, a contender can fail to have the most #1 votes, but triumph with more #2 or #3 rankings.   "We're looking for the film that has the most consensus support," Pete notes. "That's what I'm looking at and I keep changing my mind." Watch Anne Thompson and Tom O&#...' »


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Oscar predictions: Battle for Best Visual Effects - 'Mad Max: Fury Road,' 'Star Wars: The Force Awakens,' 'The Revenant'

5 hours ago

The Visual Effects Society bestowed “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” with four awards, including the top prize of Best Visual Effects in a Feature Film. Among the other honorees at these kudos were two other Oscar contenders for Best Visual Effects: “The Revenant” walked away with three, and “Mad Max: Fury Road” took home one. So, which will win the Oscar?  Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Since the Ves Awards began in 2002, the winner of the top prize has gone on to repeat at the Oscars nine times. The four exceptions were: 2004: Ves goes to “Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban,” Oscar goes to “Spider-Man 2” 2007: Ves goes to “Transformers,” Oscar goes to “The Golden Compass” 2011: Ves goes to “Rise of the Planet of the Apes,” Oscar goes to “Hugo” 2014: Ves goes to “Dawn of the Plan »


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'The Danish Girl' costume designer Paco Delgado on Oscar nomination and dressing Eddie Redmayne (Video)

5 hours ago

During our recent webcam chat (watch above), “The Danish Girl” costume designer Paco Delgado gave much credit for his Oscar nomination to director Tom Hooper, who had very specific ideas about how to tell this true story of 1930s transgender pioneer Lili Elbe (Eddie Redmayne) and his supportive wife Gerda (Alicia Vikander). “Everyone says your costumes are helping to tell the story, that they are like a main character somehow in themselves because through the costumes gender is explained. But he said from the very beginning, ‘I want you to design costumes that are not going to be the center of the production.’” -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions This was in stark contrast to their work on the musical “Les Miserables” (2012), for which Delgado reaped his first Oscar bid. “With ‘Les Mis,’” »


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Grammy predictions: Carrie Underwood vs. Chris Stapleton for Country Solo is too close to call

5 hours ago

Carrie Underwood only has one Grammy nomination this year – Best Country Solo Performance ("Little Toy Guns") – but that doesn't necessarily make her an underdog. She's a powerhouse in performance categories. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions This year marks Underwood's fourth nomination in this category, which was created in 2011 by merging the separate awards for male and female vocalists. She lost that first race to Taylor Swift ("Mean"), but she won in 2012 for "Blown Away" and 2014 for "Something in the Water." Before the categories merged, Underwood was dominant, claiming Female Country Performance three years in a row, for "Jesus Take the Wheel" (2006), "Before He Cheats" (2007), and "Last Name" (2008). She also won Best Country Collaboration in 2009 with Randy Travis f...' »


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'Room' director Lenny Abrahamson on surprise Oscar nomination and frontrunner Brie Larson (Video)

5 hours ago

"Room" helmer Lenny Abrahamson readily admits during our recent webcam chat (watch above) to being shocked when he heard his name among the Best Director Oscar nominees. “I think I knew it could be a really powerful film,” he explains, “but it would be impossible to predict this.” He does allow that while filming the harrowing story of a young woman (Brie Larson) trapped in a room for six years with her son (Jacob Tremblay), “you could see something special was happening." However, he quickly adds, "I don’t think I would ever have anticipated this. Maybe in a kind of fantasy football sort of way, but not really.” -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Emma Donoghue adapted her acclaimed novel, which follows the pair after they make their escape and struggle to adjust to life outside of those four walls. Abrahamson says he read. »


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BAFTA Awards predictions: The case for 'Carol' to win Best Picture

6 hours ago

Currently, “The Revenant” sits top of the Gold Derby odds chart to take home the Best Picture prize at this Sunday's BAFTA Awards. Besides "The Revenant," the other BAFTA Best Picture nominees are: The Big Short,” “Bridge of Spies,” “Carol," and “Spotlight.” Of these, "The Big Short," "The Revenant" and "Spotlight" are considered the front-runners at the Academy Awards. So, it would seem to be safe to assume that the big BAFTA winner will also be one of those three. But how correct is that? Let’s find out, gang, by looking at the two key factors that distinguish the majority of the recent BAFTA Best Picture winners from the also-rans as well as a new factor that could come into play this year. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Factor 1: Emotion BAFTA voters have a type, which ..."' »


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Grammy for Song of the Year: Why Taylor Swift Will win, but Kendrick Lamar Should win

7 hours ago

Taylor Swift's "Blank Space" is the current frontrunner in Gold Derby's predictions to win Song of the Year with 10/11 odds. It's a category she's been nominated in twice before but hasn't won. Swift was first nominated in the category for "You Belong with Me" in 2009, the same year she took home the Album of the Year prize for "Fearless" and only two years after she lost her first Grammy contest for Best New Artist. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Since then Swift has been a Grammy darling, a perennial nominee in the country field and showing up in the top four general field categories with just as much frequency. In total, Swift is a 29-time Grammy nominee including her seven bids this year. It seems shocking then that she's never won Song of the Year. But this could very well be her year, »


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Grammy for Best New Artist: Why Courtney Barnett Will win, but Sam Hunt Should win

10 hours ago

The myth for a long time was that winning the Grammy for Best New Artist is a curse to the artist's career, but with recent winners like John Legend, Carrie Underwood, Adele and last year's champ Sam Smith all enjoying continued success the curse seems to have been lifted, if there ever really was a curse at all. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions That being said, this year's contest features some of the least recognizable names in the category's history, leading me to believe it's a wide open race. There is usually at least one New Artist nominee that is also nominated in the other general field categories of Album, Song or Record of the Year, but not this year. This is the first time since 2010 that the Best New Artist contenders are absent from the rest of the top four races. 2010 was »


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Writers Guild of America Awards predictions: Oscar frontrunners 'Spotlight' and 'The Big Short' will win

11 hours ago

The 68th annual edition of the Writers Guild of America awardsfest will be held simultaneously in La and Gotham on Saturday (Feb. 13). The original screenplay nominees are: "Bridge of Spies," "Sicario," "Spotlight," "Straight Outta Compton," and "Trainwreck." And the adapted screenplay contenders are: "The Big Short,"Carol," "The Martian," "Steve Jobs" and "Trumbo."  -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Because these kudos only consider screenplays written under the guild's guidelines or those of several international partners, four Oscar nominees were ineligible for consideration: the adaptations of "Brooklyn" and "Room" and the original scripts for "Ex Machina" and "Inside Out."  While 305 films are in the running for Best Picture at..."' »


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Grammy predictions: Is Kendrick Lamar a lock for Best Rap Album?

13 hours ago

Kendrick Lamar is the only rap artist who contends for Album of the Year, for his sophomore effort "To Pimp a Butterfly," which gives him a strong advantage to win Best Rap Album. That should have helped him in 2013 too, when he was nominated in both categories for his acclaimed debut "Good Kid, M.A.A.D City," but that was a rare instance when two rap albums competed for Album of the Year: "Good Kid" and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis's "The Heist." Unfortunately for Lamar, the recording academy picked "The Heist" for Rap Album instead. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions The good news for Lamar is that he's the only artist with that distinction this time, so history is decidedly on his side. Since this category was created in 1995, whenever rap has competed for Album of the Year, it has won Best Rap Album every single time. »


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Oscar predictions: Top 24 User Bohdan Kozar says 'The Big Short' & 'The Revenant' will split Picture/Director

14 hours ago

Our reader Bohdan Kozar (screen name Engapantio) did so well at predicting last year's Oscars -- 16th place out of more than 3,200 predictors -- that he's now showcased in a league along with the other Top 24 Users to forecast this year's winners. He had an accuracy rate of 87.50% and 10,017 points last year, missing only three categories: Best Animated Feature, Best Film Editing and Best Animated Short. This year, Kozar is predicting a Best Picture/Best Director split between "The Big Short" and Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu" ("The Revenant"). Is he right? Below, see his explanations for his savvy Oscar predictions and resist the urge to copy or steal them as your own. (Click here to see his current Oscar rankings in all 24 races.) -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions "My current predictions were prepared several weeks ago," reveals Kozar. "My ap...' »


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Oscar mystery: Anne Thompson & Tom O'Neil on the crazy Best Picture race (video & podcast)'

22 hours ago

"It's so fun!" says Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire) about this year's Oscar derby as we delight in the suspense looming over the Best Picture race. In our video chat, we admit that it's a three-way toss-up between "Spotlight," "The Big Short" and "The Revenant." -Break- What'll win? When pressed for her view as a pundit, Anne picks "Spotlight" because of the buzz she's noted while attending such industry events as the Oscar nominees' luncheon, the DGA fete and the Santa Barbara Film Festival. Join the live Oscar discussion going on right now in our famous forums "You go from one room to another and you detect warmth for 'Spotlight,'" she says. "I don't know how else to explain it. That is my instinct. It's a gut feeling that that's the one with the most emotion attached. "I just don't feel it for 'The ...' »


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Grammy for Record of the Year: Why Taylor Swift Will win, but Mark Ronson & Bruno Mars Should win

10 February 2016 6:34 PM, PST

By an overwhelming margin, "Uptown Funk" by Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars is leading Gold Derby's predictions to win Record of the Year with 1/3 odds, likely propelled by the fact that Mars has been a mainstay in the category: he was first nominated in 2010 ("Nothin' on You") and returned in 2011 ("Grenade") and 2013 ("Locked Out of Heaven"). He lost those contests to Lady Antebellum ("Need You Now"), Adele ("Rolling in the Deep") and Daft Punk ("Get Lucky"), respectively. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions It's the loss to Daft Punk that is most intriguing because "Get Lucky" and "Uptown Funk" are similar contenders. Like Daft Punk, Mark Ronson is known for his DJ and production skills, earning much of his popularity in the dance and club markets of the industry. And like "Get Luc..."' »


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Grammy predictions: Chris Stapleton will fend off past champ Kacey Musgraves for Best Country Album

10 February 2016 2:37 PM, PST

Chris Stapleton ("Traveller") is the only Grammy nominee for Best Country Album who also contends for Album of the Year, so that should make him the clear frontrunner to win this award, right? Indeed, he's the heavy favorite to win according to our racetrack odds, but he might not be a sure thing. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions We've polled nine Expert journalists for their Grammy picks, and seven of them bet on Stapleton to win, giving him leading 4/11 odds: Glenn Gamboa (Newsday), Tim Gray (Variety), Edna Gundersen, Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman. But the other two experts, Phil Gallo and Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), think Kacey Musgraves ("Pageant Material") will pull off an upset, giving her 10/3 odds. So why are they betting against Stapleton? It is true that Albu...' »


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DGA Awards: Our predictions contest leader declares 'The Revenant' is 'clear frontrunner' at Oscars

10 February 2016 2:36 PM, PST

"After its win at DGA I think 'The Revenant' is now the clear frontrunner for Best Picture and Director at the Oscars," says Paul Rankin (screen name Gatorfan), who got the highest score in our contest to predict the winners of the 2015 DGA Awards. Rankin actually tied with Obstinate_Julia but racked up the best point total of 8,882 by using his 500 and 200 point bets wisely. See the full leaderboard right here. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Rankin hails from Delta, British Columbia, Canada where he's a gas station manager/liquor store clerk. He's been a member of Gold Derby since 2011 and tells us, "I owe a large chunk of my success to plain old luck. My betting strategy lead me to pick a few underdogs and I was fortunate that they panned out." This reader correctly predicted seven out of eight winners at »


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BAFTA Awards predictions: Battle of the British in Best Supporting Actor

10 February 2016 2:35 PM, PST

In 2010, Christian Bale co-starred in “The Fighter” as Dicky Eklund , a former boxer and recovering drug addict who helps train his brother to be a prizefighter. He would be feted with at the Golden Globes, SAG Awards and numerous critics groups on his way to collecting an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor. His one hiccup came at the BAFTAs where Geoffrey Rush proved victorious for “The King’s Speech”. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions He was nominated by the BAFTAs again in 2013 for “American Hustle,” this time for Best Actor. Fate did not prove to be kind to Bale, when once again he would walk away empty-handed. He would lose to another Brit, Chiwetel Ejiofor for “12 Years a Slave”. Both lost that Oscar race to Matthew McConaughey ("Dallas Buyers Club").  But third time could prove the charm for Bale. »


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Grammy predictions: Alabama Shakes way ahead for Best Alternative Album, but Bjork hopes for upset

10 February 2016 1:33 PM, PST

Alabama Shakes' "Sound and Color" is the only nominee for Best Alternative Album that is also nominated for Album of the Year at the Grammys. Does that make them a shoo-in in this category? They're way out front according to our racetrack odds, but there's reason to believe they're vulnerable. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions We've polled nine Expert journalists for the Grammy picks, and all of them are betting on Alabama Shakes to win this award, giving them overwhelming 1/10 odds: Phil Gallo, Glenn Gamboa (Newsday), Tim Gray (Variety), Edna Gundersen, Matthew Jacobs (Huffington Post), Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman. However, our Editors, we who cover awards year-round for Gold Derby, aren't unanimous. While five out of six of us -- Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon, O'Neil, Sheehan and I -- fa »


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'Mustang' director Deniz Gamze Erguven on Oscar nomination, diversity in Hollywood (Video)

10 February 2016 12:30 PM, PST

As the only female director nominated for a narrative film at the Oscars, "Mustang's" Deniz Gamze Erguven is keenly aware of the absence of women within the film industry. "Diversity, in terms of gender, it's been an issue ever since the world exists," she notes during our recent webcam chat (watch above). "In cinema history, we're used to seeing the world through the eyes of men." -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Erguven adds, "Cinema has such an impact on the way we shape our societies and the way we think. So, the fact that we're missing the point of view of half of humanity by not having films made by women just makes us more stupid. We would be so much more articulate and have broader perspectives and it would generate understanding, compassion, empathy and it would make our points of view much more complex. »

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Grammy predictions: Muse has slight lead over James Bay for Best Rock Album

10 February 2016 12:15 PM, PST

It's challenging to determine a frontrunner in this year's Grammy race for Best Rock Album. Only one nominee has ever contended in this category before, and only two have ever won any Grammys at all. So who has the advantage? -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions We're polling nine Expert journalists for their picks, and six of them say it will be "Drones" by past champs Muse, giving them leading 8/13 odds: Tim Gray (Variety), Edna Gundersen, Tom O'Neil (Gold Derby), Lyndsey Parker (Yahoo Music), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby) and Chris Willman. Muse has been in this race before. The British band won this category for "The Resistance" in 2010 and were nominated for "The 2nd Law" in 2012. "Drones" is their seventh studio album, but this marks their only nomination this year. Their biggest threat appears to be »


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Grammy Awards ceremony to include tributes to David Bowie, Glenn Frey, B.B. King

10 February 2016 11:32 AM, PST

This year's Grammy Awards ceremony will feature tributes to three Rock and Roll Hall of Fame members: David Bowie, Glenn Frey, and B.B. King. Those three segments are among the latest performances announced for the 55th annual event slated for CBS on Monday, February 15. -Break- Subscribe to Gold Derby Breaking News Alerts & Experts’ Latest Oscar Predictions Oscar and Grammy nominee Lady Gaga will be part of a lengthy seven-minute segment honoring Bowie, who died on January 10. Eagles co-founder Frey, who died on January 18, will be remembered by his former bandmates Don Henley, Bernie Leadon, Timothy B. Schmit, and Joe Walsh plus longtime friend Jackson Browne. Blues legend King, who died on May 14, will be celebrated by Gary Clark, Jr., Bonnie Raitt, and Chris Stapleton. Lionel Richie, the 2016 MusiCares person of the year for his charitable work, will also be feted with a special tribute by Luke Bryan, John Legend, Demi Lovato, »


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