13 March 2013 10:30 AM, PDT | Rope of Silicon | See recent Rope Of Silicon news »

I have never before attempted to predict an award season this early and categories such as Best Picture and Director are actually quite easy when you compare to trying to predict the acting categories. An actor's performance can earn a nomination without the film itself getting a push in the major categories. For example, many asked why I hadn't included films such as Ain't Them Bodies Saints in my 40 film Oscar preview. Well, IFC isn't going to have the budget to push David Lowery's film in all the categories, but the much talked about performances from Rooney Mara and Casey Affleck may be able to get enough outside support to be able to speak for themselves. Then you have to begin to consider one performance over another. Take Tom Hanks for example. He plays Walt Disney in Saving Mr. Banks and the title character in Paul Greengrass' Captain Phillips. »

- Brad Brevet

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