3 March 2013 6:40 AM, PST | Gold Derby | See recent Gold Derby news »

1.I (conveniently) ignored the most important Oscar rules.   We all know that Golden Globe plus SAG Award almost always equals Oscar. Only five people have won the first two and then lost the Academy Award: Lauren Bacall in “The Mirror Has Two Faces,” Russell Crowe in “A Beautiful Mind,” Renee Zellweger in “Chicago,” Eddie Murphy in “Dreamgirls” and Julie Christie in “Away from Her.” That was great news for Globe and SAG champion Jennifer Lawrence ("Silver Linings Playbook").   -Insertgroups:12- More importantly, if you fail to earn both Globe and SAG nominations, your Oscar chances are next to impossible. (The only person to overcome that obstacle was Marcia Gay Harden in “Pollock.”) I honestly thought that Emmanuelle Riva could beat those odds because “Amour” was a foreign language film and the Globe/SAG omissions were easy to explain. Ultimately, the st »

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