18 February 2013 9:30 AM, PST | Hollywoodnews.com | See recent Hollywoodnews.com news »

If the numbers hold true, look for the wealth to be spread around at the Oscars® this year. I have created a statistical model to predict the Oscars®, using numerical data from critic scores, other awards shows, and guild awards over the past 15 years. This method is entirely mathematical: no personal hunches are taken into account. Last year, my model correctly predicted all eight of the major categories. This year’s final tallies show that six movies will take home multiple awards this Sunday. On the flip side, no movie will win more than three for the first time since 2005. The “big winner,” if any movie even deserves that title, will most likely be Argo, claiming Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Film Editing. In a very tight Best Director race, Ang Lee (Life of Pi) is the slight favorite. However, Life of Pi is only expected to win »

- bzblogger@hollywoodnews.com (Ben Zauzmer)

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