15 February 2013 1:22 PM, PST | Gold Derby | See recent Gold Derby news »

Usually, the Best Director Oscar goes hand-in-hand with Best Picture, but this year the top prize is likely to be awarded to "Argo," which isn't nominated in this category. It would be only the fourth time in Oscar history that a film wins Best Picture without a directing bid, and the first time since "Driving Miss Daisy" in 1989. -Insertgroups:8- So with "Argo" sitting out this race, who will win instead? Steven Spielberg ("Lincoln") Spielberg is the favorite with 9/5 odds. 15 out of 25 experts, seven out of nine editors, and 71% of users predict he will win. For directing the period biopic about President Abraham Lincoln passing the 13th Amendment to abolish slavery, Spielberg has been nominated by the Golden Globes, Critics' Choice, and the Directors Guild, losing all three to Ben Affleck ("Argo"). He has yet to win a major directing honor for the film. His bids for directing and producing »

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Steven Spielberg
Ben Affleck
Argo (2012)

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