30 January 2013 11:41 AM, PST | Moviefone | See recent Moviefone news »

Sometimes Oscar prognosticators are slow on the uptake. After all, if something unexpected happens once, it's a fluke. Twice, and it's a coincidence. But three times? That's a trend. And four times is -- what? A groundswell? A movement? So it is with Argo. After Ben Affleck failed to secure a Best Director nomination, pundits counted it out of the Best Picture race, since no film has won that Oscar without also being nominated for Best Director since 1989's "Driving Miss Daisy." Nonetheless, hours after the Oscar nominations were announced, "Argo" picked up Best Picture at the Critics' Choice Awards. Then it did so a few days later at the Golden Globes. And this past weekend, it won the top prize at the Producers Guild Awards on Saturday and then at the Screen Actors Guild Awards on Sunday. So, yeah, okay, we get it. "Argo" is the frontrunner. Still, how did it come from behind, »

- Gary Susman

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