17 January 2013 8:39 AM, PST | Rope of Silicon | See recent Rope Of Silicon news »

I've updated six categories in my Oscar predictions for the first time since the nominations were announced, and while a lot of the races remain the same, the lack of a Best Director nomination for Ben Affleck (Argo) and the fact it won Best Picture and Director at the Critics' Choice Awards and Golden Globes makes predicting those two categories incredibly difficult. Had Affleck been nominated for Best Director I don't think there's a pundit out there right now that wouldn't have Argo on line on for Best Picture and Affleck on line one for Director. However, the Affleck absence is glaring as is the fact Argo has no support in the acting categories (outside of the Alan Arkin nomination, which no one is taking seriously). To that, only three times in history has a film won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination. For the longest time Lincoln seemed like the sure-thing, »

- Brad Brevet

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