2014 Academy Awards

These are the movies that are in consideration for this years Oscars. The nominations are in, so here are my thoughts on what the films chances at winning their categories are.

P.S I will update
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1.
The 86th Annual Academy Awards (2014 TV Special)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.9/10 X  
The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences celebrates the year's achievements in film. (214 mins.)
Director: Hamish Hamilton
 
2.
12 Years a Slave (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8.1/10 X  
In the antebellum United States, Solomon Northup, a free black man from upstate New York, is abducted and sold into slavery. (134 mins.)
Director: Steve McQueen
“ Why It's In The Running
One of the toughest most emotional movies to come out in a while, but also one of the best and most important.

The acting and directing are both superb; Steve McQueen made you feel like you were in that awful era of slavery, and the acting on everyone's part was truly amazing.

This film is getting enormous Oscar Buzz. Very similar buzz to last years Lincoln, which did not end up winning Best Picture. However, 12 Years a Slave would be a very worthy Best Picture, but with all the competition I don't think it will be winning much of anything else. However, that doesn't change it's chances for Best Picture, it is a sure thing.

Chances At Winning:
Best Picture / The Front Runner
Best Director / Second Highest Chances
Best Actor / Second Highest Chances
Best Supporting Actor / No Chance
Best Supporting Actress / Front Runner
Best Adapted Screenplay / Front Runner
Best Editing / Has a Shot
Best Production Design / Possible
Best Costume Design / Very Possible
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
3.
Gravity (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.8/10 X  
A medical engineer and an astronaut work together to survive after an accident leaves them adrift in space. (91 mins.)
Director: Alfonso Cuarón
“ Why It's In the Running
Visual Masterpiece. Everything about this movie on a technical standpoint is 100% perfect, from the Visual Effects, to the sound, the music and editing, it's all just right. On an emotional level, it does what it needs to do. You really felt for the two people on screen, especially Sandra Bullock.

So with that in mind lets talk awards. A Lock for Best Visual Effects and Best Cinematography. I am fairly confident it is taking those two. Editing, Sound and Score could possibly win as well, they were all were fantastic.

Now for the big awards. Best Picture is a huge possibility. Although the front runner is 12 Years a Slave, it is rare that a film wins top honors at the Directors Guild and Producers Guild Awards, and not win the Best Picture Oscar. Alfonso Cuarón IMO should and will win for Best Director. Honestly one of the best directed movies in recent memory. The way he told a simple story through Visuals was unparalleled.

Gravity is going to get a bunch of technical awards and a bunch of big awards. It deserves all it's nominations, and it would deserve to win each of them as well. It's a fact that we'll be seeing a bunch of wins for this film.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / Second Highest Chances
Best Director / Clear Winner
Best Actress / Little To No Chance
Best Editing / Front Runner
Best Cinematography/ Clear Winner
Best Score / Front Runner
Best Production Design / Very Possible
Best Visual Effects / Clear Winner
Best Sound Editing / Front Runner
Best Sound Mixing / Front Runner
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
4.
American Hustle (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.3/10 X  
A con man, Irving Rosenfeld, along with his seductive partner Sydney Prosser, is forced to work for a wild FBI agent, Richie DiMaso, who pushes them into a world of Jersey powerbrokers and mafia. (138 mins.)
“ Why It's in The Running
Loosely based around the sting operation, in the late 70's, codenamed ABSCAM. Great story based off true events, with a very accomplished director, and an incredible cast. This movie is packed with great performances, great lines, and great direction.

This movie has nominations in all the Acting Categories, second time in a row for David O Russell, Silver Linings Playbook and now American Hustle. Something that has never been done before. Even if you did not like this movie, you have to admit that is very impressive. I guarantee there are a lot of actors lining up and praying that they get a part in Russell's next picture, because David O Russell is the best Director working today when it comes to collaborating with his Actors.

David O Russell has Two Nominations this year, one for Directing (third time in a row) and one for Original Screenplay. If anything in this movie is winning an Oscar, it is David O' Russell and Eric Singer's screenplay. There's so many great scenes and dialogue thanks to the screenplay.
The Directing nomination is well deserved I think, some of his best work to date.

American Hustle is tied with Gravity for the most nominations this year (10 Nominations). So far The Academy has loved David O' Russell's work, and this is up to par with what he's done in the past. I'm hopeful for this movie, I want it to do well and I think it will.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / Not Likely, But Possible
Best Director / No Chance
Best Actor / No Chance
Best Actress / No Chance
Best Supporting Actor / No Chance
Best Supporting Actress / Front Runner
Best Original Screenplay / Front Runner
Best Editing / Very Possible
Best Production Design / Possible
Best Costume Design / Very Possible
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
5.
The Wolf of Wall Street (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8.2/10 X  
Based on the true story of Jordan Belfort, from his rise to a wealthy stock-broker living the high life to his fall involving crime, corruption and the federal government. (180 mins.)
Director: Martin Scorsese
“ Why it's In the Running
This movie is directed by the great Martin Scorsese, and stars Leonardo DiCaprio (along with a huge cast filled with amazing actors). Both of them worked on The Aviator & The Departed, which were very successful when it came to the Awards. The Wolf of Wall Street is probably their best collaboration to date. Extremely well acted, great writing, and very well crafted thanks to the master himself Martin Scorsese.

Although this film has earned 5 well deserved nominations, I would be shocked If it won any of them. The Wolf of Wall Street is so controversial and divided that I am honestly surprised it's nominated for anything at all. I could be wrong, but I think the Academy is only awarding this film with it's nominations, instead of giving it the Oscar. Which is a shame, because it is so well written, acted and directed. Like I said I could be wrong, for all I know it could sweep it's nominations, we'll just have to see.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / Not Likely
Best Director / Not Likely
Best Actor / Possible
Best Supporting Actor / Not a Chance
Best Adapted Screenplay / Very Possible
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
6.
Dallas Buyers Club (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8.0/10 X  
In 1985 Dallas, electrician and hustler Ron Woodroof works around the system to help AIDS patients get the medication they need after he is diagnosed with the disease. (117 mins.)
“ Why It's In The Running
Matthew McConaughey is really proving himself as a good actor again. Back in the 90's he had Dazed and Confused, A Time To Kill and that set him up really well. Then he went on to do bad romantic comedies. Now, he's back to his roots and even exceeding his previous work. With Mud, Magic Mike and Killer Joe, he is now one of the best actors we have working today.

Dallas Buyers Club is one of the films her did in 2013 along with Mud & Wolf of Wall Street. He lost a ton of weight for the role, many people are saying he is the front runner to win the Oscar, and deservedly so. McConaughey plays a man with AIDS. His character goes from living the worst lifestyle imaginable, to a man desperate to help himself and others by getting and giving the right treatment to people who have AIDS. He had so many subtleties to his role, and he owned every second of screen-time. Jared Leto, who plays a transgender, is equally as good. Leto is also getting a lot of well deserved buzz for his role, and he will win the Oscar, no question. Performances are amazing, and will be recognized on Oscar night.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / Not Likely
Best Actor / Front Runner
Best Supporting Actor / Clear Winner
Best Original Screenplay / No Chance
Best Editing / Not Likely
Best Make-Up / Front Runner
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
7.
Nebraska (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.7/10 X  
An aging, booze-addled father makes the trip from Montana to Nebraska with his estranged son in order to claim a million-dollar Mega Sweepstakes Marketing prize. (115 mins.)
Director: Alexander Payne
“ An unexpected hit in the Awards Season this Year. Nebraska is a film with Veterans and Newcomers alike, both doing equally well. The unexpected success of this movie might surprise someone who has not seen it. Anyone who has seen it, however, knows that this is an incredibly funny and well written film, that definitely deserves a lot of the praise it is getting.

The acting is very good. The people portraying these characters feel so real, as if they don't even know they are being filmed. Especially Bruce Dern and June Squibb, who just own their roles. Both Actors have very well deserved nominations. Besides them, Will Forte and Bob Odenkirk are both believable as the sons of the two people previously mentioned. Everyone is great, and all work together perfectly.

The Writing and Directing are very effective. First time screenwriter, Bob Nelson, developed a screenplay that was very funny and original. Nelson has a good career ahead of him, this is a very good start. Alexander Payne is an Oscar favorite. Somehow every movie he makes, the Critics and Academy just adores. Since Nebraska is one of his better movies, the Critics have loved it and so has the Academy.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / No Chance
Best Director / No Chance
Best Actor / Not Likely
Best Supporting Actress / Not Likely
Best Original Screenplay / Not Likely
Best Cinematography / Not Likely
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
8.
Her (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8.0/10 X  
A lonely writer develops an unlikely relationship with an operating system designed to meet his every need. (126 mins.)
Director: Spike Jonze
“ Why It's in The Running
Wasn't talked about much before Awards season started. I had a feeling it would get attention soon enough, and thankfully it really has. "her" is Spike Jonze second film where he both Writes and Directs, and what an accomplishment this is for him. "her" is a great film, a beautifully told story with an amazing visual look; the cinematography, production design, and visual effects really bring this film to life in beautiful fashion.

The acting is really good, Joaquin Phoenix never seizes to amaze, and his performance in this film is no exception. Some could argue anyone could have played this role, but the way I see it is that it takes good acting to go from The Master (Phoenix's last film), where he played an insane man, to "her" where he plays a loner searching for love; I think it's quite impressive that he can achieve that. Also he's in almost every scene of this 2 hour film, which is also impressive. The voice-over by Scarlet Johanson is flawless, the way it's edited and the way she delivers her lines are perfect.

The screenplay has been getting a lot of well deserved attention, which is really cool considering that it is only Jonze second screenplay that he also directed. The films undertones, and things it has to say about love, our use of technology, and how those two things can go together, are told beautifully by the screenplay. There's some great dialogue, humor, and emotion as well. One of the key things this movie tries to get the audience to do is buy the fact that this man Theodore, played by Joaquin Phoenix, would fall in love with an A.I. computer. I think it pulled it off. Even tho Theodore loves Samantha (The A.I.) he questions their relationship a lot, and even if they have one at all, which I thought was very smart, and very well done. Everything about the screenplay is great, i absolutely loved it.

There's a lot going for this movie, everything from it's visual look, the acting, and the the way it's told & written. Plus a lot of Critics, Audiences, and even Awards people seem to love it. I hope it does well at the Oscars i will be rooting for it.

Chances at Winning:
Best Picture / Not Likely
Best Original Screenplay / Front Runner
Best Production Design / Possible
Best Score / Possible
Best Song / Not Likely
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
9.
Blue Jasmine (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.3/10 X  
A New York socialite, deeply troubled and in denial, arrives in San Francisco to impose upon her sister. She looks a million, but isn't bringing money, peace, or love... (98 mins.)
Director: Woody Allen
“ Why It's In The Running
Written & Directed by Woody Allen. This is his latest film, it has been really successful critically and financially and for good reason. This is a great film, with a fantastic lead performance by Cate Blanchett and some very good writing as usual by Woody Allen.

Cate Blanchett stole the show, she was really really good. She is going to win the Oscar, and that is very well deserved. Sally Hawkins is also nominated, she was great but I don't think she will win with all the competition. Also Allen's usual great writing could get recognized as well, I thought he did a very fine job with both writing and directing. It's deserved of Best Actress, if you haven't seen the movie I strongly suggest doing so.

Chances of Winning:
Best Actress / Clear Winner
Best Supporting Actress / No Chance
Best Original Screenplay / Not Likely
 ” - CrawfordFilm
 
11.
Captain Phillips (2013)
    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7.9/10 X  
The true story of Captain Richard Phillips and the 2009 hijacking by Somali pirates of the US-flagged MV Maersk Alabama, the first American cargo ship to be hijacked in two hundred years. (134 mins.)
Director: Paul Greengrass
“  Why It's In The Running
Captain Philips is one of two movies Tom Hanks could possibly get a nomination. The story is a complex one, but a good one. Tom Hanks plays the Captain of a ship that gets hijacked by Somali Pirates, first time in 200 years an American cargo ship had been taken over. This is a very exciting and emotional movie. Captain Phillips is a True Story, and I was shocked at everything that happened.

Paul Greengrass did such a perfect job directing this movie, I almost forgot that I was watching a real life event being played on the silver screen. Greengrass with one of the best actors of all time, Tom Hanks, was perfect.

Tom Hanks gave one of the best peformances of his very accomplished, Oscar winning career. Throughout the film I said to myself, he's doing a really good job, once the final 15 minutes hit I said to myself, he is amazing. Even tho Hanks doesn't have a nomination for this movie, he still was great.

Barkhad Abdi, the main pirate in the film, in his first feature film is absolutely commanding in this role. He is deservedly nominated, and although he has no chance to win against Jared Leto / Dallas Buyers Club it doesn't change the fact that Abdi is a great new talent.

Besides that, all the technical aspects like sound, music and editing are perfect. Editing and Sound are both nominated, and have a chance to win. The film has gotten some love from it's Screenplay by the Guilds, so don't be surprised if it takes the gold.

Chances of Winning:
Best Picture / Not Likely
Best Supporting Actor / Not Likely
Best Adapted Screenplay / Possible
Best Editing / Possible
Best Sound Mixing / Possible
Best Sound Editing / Possible
 ” - CrawfordFilm