Academy Award for Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role (Prediction)

I have yet to see any of these performances. I am simply attempting to predict which performances, based on media/internet hype will be nominated. My prediction of which will win will be noted. Actresses listed in alphabetical order.
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1.
Marion Cotillard
Actress, Inception
Academy Award-winning Actress Marion Cotillard was born on September 30, 1975 in Paris. Cotillard is the daughter of Jean-Claude Cotillard, an actor, playwright and director, and Niseema Theillaud, an actress and drama teacher. Her father's family is Breton and her mother has Kabyle ancestry. Raised in Orléans...
“ for "Rust and Bone" ” - dolphinsrock81
 
2.
Keira Knightley
Keira Christina Knightley was born in the South West Greater London suburb of Richmond on March 26th 1985. She is the daughter of actor Will Knightley and actress turned playwright Sharman Macdonald. An older brother, Caleb Knightley, was born in 1979. Her father is English, while her Scottish-born mother is of Scottish and Welsh origin...
“ for "Anna Karenina" ” - dolphinsrock81
 
3.
Jennifer Lawrence
America's Sweetheart and star of the wildly popular Hunger Games series, Jennifer Lawrence is the first, and thus far only, person born in the 1990s to have received an acting Oscar (for Silver Linings Playbook). Lawrence was born Jennifer Shrader Lawrence on August 15, 1990 in Louisville, Kentucky, to Karen (Koch)...
“ for "Silver Linings Playbook" ... *Winner ” - dolphinsrock81
 
4.
Emmanuelle Riva
Actress, Amour
An only child, Emmanuelle was born Paulette Germaine Riva in Cheniménil, but eventually grew up in Remiremont. Her mother, Jeanne Fernande Nourdin, was a seamstress. Her father, René Alfred [Alfredo] Riva, was a sign writer. Her paternal grandfather was Italian. She dreamed of becoming an actress since she was six...
“ for "Amour" ” - dolphinsrock81
 
5.
Quvenzhané Wallis
Wallis was born in Houma, Louisiana, to Qulyndreia (Jackson) Wallis, a teacher, and Venjie Wallis, Sr., a truck driver. She has one sister, Qunyquekya, and two brothers, Vejon and Venjie, Jr. "Quven", the first part of her name, combines the first syllables of her parents' first names. Wallis, at age five...
“ for "Beasts of the Southern Wild" ” - dolphinsrock81